Steve McAlexander on Thu, 15 Nov 2001 01:55:02 +0100 (CET) |
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[Nettime-bold] Scary stuff from the WSJ |
> >Wall Street Journal Opinion, November 14, 2001 > >This Victory May Haunt Us > >By Max Boot, the Journal's editorial features editor. > >How quickly the fortunes of war shift. Last week gloomy commentators spoke >of a "quagmire" and invoked Vietnam analogies. This week, following the >liberation of Kabul, giddy commentators will no doubt be talking of >bringing our boys home by Thanksgiving, Christmas at the latest. It may >seem churlish in this hour of victory to raise doubts about how the >triumphs of the past few days have been achieved, but the manner in which >we have fought the war in Afghanistan may yet come back to haunt us. > >This is not a war being won with American blood and guts. It is being won >with the blood and guts of the Northern Alliance, helped by copious >quantities of American ordnance and a handful of American advisers. After >Sept. 11, President Bush promised that this would not be another bloodless, >push-button war, but that is precisely what it has been. > >From the American standpoint, this is Kosovo Redux: American pilots bombing >from 15,000 feet, while our local allies (in this case, the Northern >Alliance, not the Kosovo Liberation Army) do the fighting on the ground. >This may seem like a sound strategy -- why send American boys to die when >Afghan boys will do our dying for us? -- but it poses two major problems, >one short-term, one long-term. > >Shape the Peace > >The short-term problem is that it will be hard to shape a peace in >Afghanistan without having forces on the ground. The administration hoped >in vain that the Northern Alliance would not enter Kabul, but who was going >to keep them out, once the Taliban collapsed like a punch-drunk fighter? In >the Spanish-American War, the Philippine and Cuban insurrectos were kept >out of Manila and Havana, respectively, by American armies of occupation. >But 100 Special Forces troopers cannot occupy Kabul. > >The hope in Washington is that we can send Muslim peacekeepers -- Turks, >Bangladeshis, Indonesians -- into the Afghan capital. Perhaps this will >work, but the precedents are not auspicious. > >Remember Somalia? The clans were awed by the presence of some 26,000 U.S. >soldiers and Marines. But as soon as the bulk of the Americans left, >turning over their duties to a United Nations force drawn from Pakistan, >Malaysia and other states not renowned for their military prowess, the >local warlords were emboldened to cause trouble. The spiraling violence led >to the deaths of 24 Pakistani peacekeepers, and then 18 American Rangers >and Delta Force commandos. So much for United Nations "peacekeeping." >Pretty soon, all the foreigners had pulled up stakes, and Somalia had >reverted to a state of Hobbesian nature. > >It would be a gross dereliction of our imperial responsibilities if we >allowed something similar to happen in Afghanistan. Worse, it would be >dangerous: It would risk turning Afghanistan once again into a den of >terrorists driven by homicidal hatred of the West. > >The longer term danger is that the war in Afghanistan will do nothing to >dispel the widespread impression that Americans are fat, indolent, and >unwilling to fight the barbarians on their own terms. We got into this mess >in the first place because of the widespread impression -- born in Beirut >in 1983, seemingly confirmed in Mogadishu in 1993 -- that Americans are >incapable of suffering casualties stoically. This "bodybag syndrome" is our >greatest strategic weakness; it is no doubt why Osama bin Laden dared to >send his holy warriors to our shores to kill thousands of our countrymen. > >If his goal, as stated, was to drive the U.S. out of the Middle East, he >has demonstrably failed. But perhaps bin Laden can take some small comfort, >in whatever cave he is now hiding in, to see President Bush and Secretary >of State Colin Powell talking in recent days of Palestinian statehood. It >may be an egregious distortion to claim that the events of Sept. 11 have >brought the Palestinians' agenda closer to realization, but that is no >doubt how it will be interpreted by many in the Arab world. > >The low-risk manner in which we have conducted the Afghan campaign so far >can only add credence to this "bodybag" myth. It is, of course, a rightful >cause for celebration that not a single American life has been lost to >enemy fire on the road to Kabul, but it can only be a cause of worry that >we have not shown a willingness to conduct ground operations in earnest. >Our bombing campaign reveals great technical and logistical prowess, but it >does not show that we have the determination to stick a bayonet in the guts >of our enemy. > >The point is not that we should suffer casualties; our commanders should do >everything they responsibly can to safeguard their men's lives. World War >I-style bloodlettings are worse than criminal; they are stupid. But the >military's highest goal in planning a campaign should not be to avoid any >casualties. Yet this appears to be what Gen. Tommy Franks has done in >Afghanistan, as his predecessors did in Haiti, Bosnia and Kosovo. > >It is still not too late to dispel the illusion of American weakness; in >fact, we may have no choice in the weeks ahead. The Taliban, still >shielding Osama bin Laden, remain holed up in southern Afghanistan, a land >where the Northern Alliance is unlikely to venture. U.S. forces may still >have to strike some hard blows, if only to encourage more defections among >the Pashtuns. As we have seen in the past few days, the imminence of defeat >concentrates the mind wonderfully; it does far more to encourage surrender >than any amount of propaganda. > >Of course the Taliban in the south may complete their collapse within a >matter of days. But if they do not, U.S. forces may still have to go >cave-to-cave, as U.S. Marines once went cave-to-cave on Tarawa, Saipan and >Okinawa, incinerating the enemy in their redoubts. America should show no >mercy. Preferably Osama bin Laden will be killed. If by some remote chance >he is captured, he should get not a criminal trial, but instead a military >tribunal followed, like the Nazi and Japanese war criminals, by a quick >trip to the gallows. > >Iraq > >Beyond Afghanistan lies the challenge of Iraq -- a menace whose defeat will >in all likelihood require large-scale U.S. ground operations in conjunction >with our allies. > >It is not a pleasant thing to contemplate more battles, greater bloodshed. >It would be nice if our troops could simply come home and enjoy the >holidays. But if we do not show soon that American soldiers can wage >sustained ground combat -- that we can practice the cruel art of warfare as >relentlessly as our ancestors did -- we may pay a heavy price later on. _______________________________________________ Nettime-bold mailing list [email protected] http://amsterdam.nettime.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/nettime-bold