<nettime> Why I have stopped reading about Brexit

[Patrice Riemens <patrice@xs4all.nl>]

Aloha,

I was a Brexit addict. Till the day before yesterday. I used to spell 
the Guardian online and go thru all the vagaries of that great soap. But 
no longer. I might merely scan the headline, and may be even not.

I 'know' what is going to happen (even though you never can know). The 
Maybot is going to run the clock till March 27th, will probably not get 
her 'deal' (the same old one) passed, and Britain will leave the EU 
without an agreement. No problem for her since she will go down in 
history as the PM who has wrecked the no longer United Kingdom, but will 
have not split the Conservative party under her tenure. Which will end 
soon thereafter anyway, and will see the Conservative party split all 
the same.

Just as Labour will do, since Corbyn, who was doing a 'parcours sans 
fautes' as long as the un-negotiations between UK and EU were going on, 
but then cogently swerved out of the bend as the Maybot tired everyone 
out, and for exactly the same reason: fear of displeasing the more 
vociferous parts of his electorate, even though it's a minority, just as 
they are among the Tories. Now Corbyn's dream of what Le Monde 
Diplomatique termed 'a Brexit of the Left' lies in shambles, just as any 
hope of gaining a majority if a snap election is called (according to 
the latest surveys, Labour stands to lose 12 seats, and the Tories to 
gain 4 - looks like the Maybot's histrionic inertia pays ...) And oh 
yes, his party's gonna split all the same.

If ever a second referendum occurs - but it won't - my best guess is 
that England & Wales would vote to remain, though with a lesser margin 
than for Brexit in the first poll, and Scotland and N.Ireland will vote 
remain in even larger number than first. But for now you'd better bank 
on a second Scottish independence referendum, followed by then 
resumption of 'the Troubles', or the reunification of Ireland if it 
comes to the inevitable hard border.

So the chickens will have come to roost. What started, and remained, a 
uniquely English issue, and within that a purely Tory quarrel, will now 
leave all contenders f**** up as they deserve. And we in Europe will 
soldier on towards our next showdown: the European Elections in May.

Interesting times indeed.

Cheers to all, have a nice wee dram!
p+2D!

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